BCG: incrementality in next-best-action programs
Maturity path for causal measurement — holdouts, exploration budget, and answering spend questions with evidence.
Monday brief
Updated every MondayWeek of Oct 5, 2026 · Oct 5 – Oct 11, 2026
Dive · Scan · Delegate — Top pick first in Dive
Executive summary
Week of Oct 5, 2026 · Oct 5 – Oct 11, 2026 · ~2 min
Incrementality answers the only CFO question that matters: should we spend more — or are we buying what would have happened anyway?
Optional · draft a light share for the marketing team from this week’s brief
Worth your calendar time
Maturity path for causal measurement — holdouts, exploration budget, and answering spend questions with evidence.
96% claim transformation; 32% lead with agents across workflows. 8% run multi-agent campaigns.
Fame and brand still drive effectiveness. AI volume does not repeal the evidence.
AI news
WeeklyLabs, policy, market — ~3 min for must-knows.
Wide GenAI use; thin workflow redesign. 8% run multi-agent campaigns.
Why: The honesty number for the next ELT pack.
Holdouts and exploration budgets — not another dashboard.
Why: Answers “should we spend more?” with evidence.
Martech
WeeklyCategory moves and launches to share with owners. Full Stack is in Library.
Category shifts
Conversational reporting on lift tests is productizing.
Buy for design of experiments, not a prettier dashboard.
SourceNew & product moves
Unified multi-channel data with AI answers.
Fixes ELT-pack fragmentation.
SourceThird-party cross-channel baseline.
Use when platforms mark their own homework.
SourcePodcasts
WeeklyThis week’s triage. Standing list is in Library · Podcasts.
Cannes: fundamentals still decide winners.
Brand + measurement in one sitting.
Effectiveness over efficiency.
Already used as an earlier top pick — notes only.
Craft and evidence under regulation.
Only if regulated-industry is the live issue.
Social
WeeklyTrending this week
Post links only. Standing Follow list is in Library.
#1LinkedInBCG #2LinkedInBCG #3XIndustry
Follow (standing list) → LibraryHoldouts as a finance conversation
Measurement leads reframing tests as learning budget.
Language that survives FP&A.
32% agentic leaders circulating again
The depth-vs-narrative chart keeps getting screenshotted.
Budget-season scorecard.
Agentic MMM skepticism
Operators asking which vendors actually run AI in the model.
Bake-off hygiene.